June is a pivotal month for housing sales. Deluged with bad news that has already been released about June's performance, will anyone give credence to a rise in month-to-month pending home sales?

Pending sales of existing homes rose by 5 percent in June compared with May, found the National Association of Realtors in its monthly pending sales index. That's the largest monthly gain in more than three years. Better yet, increases in pending sales were reported across the country, said the trade organization.

But the news contradicts the other news announced by the NAR, only a week before -- that existing home sales fell for the fourth straight month in June. The 3.8 percent drop was the slowest pace in four and a half years, and altered the seasonally adjusted sales rate downward to about 5.75 million units.

In another apparent contradiction, the median home price in June was up in June, by 0.3 percent. That's a 3.3 percent increase in home prices over May 2006.

So if people weren't closing as many homes in June, why did they sign a greater number of contracts, which is what pending sales represent?

The reason is sales were already trending upward, that's why. Home sales are homes that have closed. Pending sales are those that have been put under contract, with closings set the following month or so. Nationally, the supply of unsold homes on hand in June dropped 4.2 percent to an 8.8-month supply. That's still high, but that's way down from the 15-year high set in May.

Is it time to uncork the champagne?

Cautiously optimistic, Lawrence Yun, NAR's senior economist points out that the pending sales index while up, still remains 8.6 percent below year-ago levels.

"However, it is too early to say if home sales have already passed bottom,” Yun explains. “Still, major declines in home sales are likely to have occurred already and further declines, if any, are likely to be modest given the accumulating pent-up demand.”

June is typically the last big month for families with school-age children to change homes, so they can be settled in time for school to start in August. Families with children under the age of 18 account for 48 percent of homebuyers, says the NAR. For the first time in 2006, families with children are no longer the majority homebuying demographic. Singles, single parents, couples and co-residents without children are the majority of homebuyers today.

Published: August 2, 2007

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Blanche Evans is the award-winning senior editor of Realty Times, the Internet's leading independent real estate news service. She is featured daily on the Realty Times Video Network in the "Realty Viewpoint" segment. Blanche has been named one of the "25 Most Influential People In Real Estate" by REALTOR Magazine, and has been twice recognized as a "notable." In 2005, she was named "Top Reporter Covering the NAR" by Delahaye-Bacon's. Blanche is a renowned author of five real estate books. Her newest, Bubbles, Booms and Busts: Make Money In Any Real Estate Market, McGraw-Hill, was rave-reviewed by The New York Times. She was also selected from hundreds of real estate experts to contribute to Donald Trump's book, Trump: The Best Real Estate Advice I Ever Received: 100 Top Experts Share Their Strategies, Rutledge Hill Press, and is featured on page 68. Order Now Review - Honors In 2006, Blanche was selected among scores of candidates to author two consumer real estate guidebooks for the National Association of Realtors: The NAR Guide to Home Buying, and The NAR Guide to Home Selling, Wiley & Sons. She is currently planning two new books for the NAR and its members.       Known for her keen insight into real estate industry issues and for her ability to make complex subjects easy to understand, Blanche is a sought-after keynote and continuing education speaker. Real estate organizations from MLSs, to brokerages, to franchisors, to associations hire her to provide up-to-the-minute analysis of real estate industry news and advice on how to improve revenues. Her passionate delivery, peppered with stinging wit, is a huge hit with audiences and fans. Don Klein, CEO Greater Nashville Association of Realtors, Blanche Evans, Richard Courtney, president 2007, GRAR "The GNAR membership meeting last week featured Blanche Evans as the keynote speaker. Her comments and insights resonated extremely well with those in attendance and we have had many requests for copies of her PowerPoint Presentation. She was a terrific part of the membership meeting and convention program!" - Don Klein, CEO Greater Nashville Association of Realtors Coverage from WSMV, Nashville - 8-14-2007 That Interview Guy - Get Inside The Head Of Today's Generation 2007 AE Institute Session - To purchase 2006 AE Institute Session - Parts 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 HouseValues Mastermind call - Parts 1 2 Blanche's fireside chat with Jeremy Conaway, HAR - Click here. To contact Blanche, email her at . For more articles by Blanche, click here.